VAERS database and the one pct reporting claim (1%)

Steven Avery

Steven Avery

Administrator
Toby Rogers
https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1357779080721014784

David A. Kessler, MD; Sharon Natanblut, MPA; Dianne Kennedy, MPH, RPh; et al


Toby Rogers, Ph.D., M.P.P.
@uTobian
New VAERS numbers are out. The CDC is trying to hide them but
@the_Arkivist
went in & retrieved them. It's carnage. Remember, multiply these numbers by 100 to get the actual totals (per Kessler 1993, Scott 1987, Lazarus 2011). The coronavirus vaccine campaign must be halted NOW.

Steven Avery
https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1364558249941487618

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These may be the papers.

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Kessler, D. A. (1993). Introducing medwatch. A new approach to reporting medication and device adverse effects and product problems. JAMA, 269(21), 2765–2768.
David A. Kessler, MD; Sharon Natanblut, MPA; Dianne Kennedy, MPH, RPh; et al
https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.1993.03500210065033
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/article-abstract/406452

====================

Some papers listed at:

Advanced Clinical Decision Support for Vaccine Adverse Event Detection and Reporting (2015)
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6642796/
https://academic.oup.com/cid/article/61/6/864/451758


10 Lazarus R, Klompas M, Campion FXet al.. Electronic Support for Public Health: validated case
finding and reporting for notifiable diseases using electronic medical data. JAm Med Inform
Assoc2009; 16:18-24.
Google Scholar Crossref PubMed


https://watermark.silverchair.com/16-1-18.pdf

https://academic.oup.com/jamia/article/16/1/18/865000
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/18952940/

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2605594/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2605594/pdf/18.S1067502708001898.main.pdf
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2605594/epub/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2605594/?report=reader

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1614158063448.png
 
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Steven Avery

Steven Avery

Administrator
CDC WITHOLDING INFORMATION!
1,170 DEAD Following COVID Injections:
Almost Twice as Many Deaths as Found in VAERS
http://ow.ly/izvZ50DB8SI
https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1362114831789228038

Remember, VAERS gives a year to report.
So many of this could and should be reported.

https://vaccineimpact.com/2021/cdc-...lmost-twice-as-many-deaths-as-found-in-vaers/

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https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1362114831789228038

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1363208379640934401

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1362955440229740547
 
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Steven Avery

Steven Avery

Administrator
So there are CDC and VAERS numbers to be compared, and there may be a private database.

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The vax-pushers (with blood on their hands) have, quite properly in this case, pointed this out:

Are Fewer Than 1% of Vaccine Injuries Reported to VAERS?
By Vincent Iannelli, MD / September 3, 2019 /
https://vaxopedia.org/2019/09/03/percentage-of-reports-to-vaers/

"But we already know that more serious reactions are reported to VAERS much more routinely ... "
 
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Steven Avery

Steven Avery

Administrator
Safety monitoring in the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS)
Tom T. Shimabukuro, MD, MPH, MBA,a,* Michael Nguyen, MD,b David Martin, MD, MPH,b and Frank DeStefano, MD, MPHa
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov

Safety monitoring in the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS)

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) conduct post-licensure vaccine safety monitoring using the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS), a spontaneous (or passive) reporting system. ...
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov

Reporting efficiency, which is the proportion of adverse events that actually get reported to VAERS, is unknown, but is believed to be higher for clinically serious conditions. In a 1995 study, reporting sensitivities ranged from 68% for vaccine-associated polio following oral poliovirus vaccine to <1% for rash following MMR vaccine [33].

[33] Rosenthal S, Chen R. The reporting sensitivities of two passive surveillance systems for vaccine adverse events. Am J Public Health. 1995;85(12):1706–9. [PMC free article] [PubMed]
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov

The reporting sensitivities of two passive surveillance systems for vaccine adverse events.

To evaluate reporting sensitivities for vaccine adverse events, reporting rates were estimated by dividing the number of events reported to the Monitoring System for Adverse Events Following Immunization and the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System ...
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov

The reporting sensitivities of two passive surveillance systems for vaccine adverse events - PubMed

To evaluate reporting sensitivities for vaccine adverse events, reporting rates were estimated by dividing the number of events reported to the Monitoring System for Adverse Events Following Immunization and the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System in a given period by the number of doses...
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Click to expand...
 
Steven Avery

Steven Avery

Administrator
More articles pushing the 1% narrative, which has been wrongly extrapolated.

Health Freedom News
Lisa Jenkins - 12/14/2018
Research Shows That Fewer Than 1% of Vaccine Reactions Are Reported
http://www.healthfreedomiowa.org/articles/fewer-than-1-of-vaccine-reactions-are-being-reported

See how deaths are given the same 1% as rashes in this chart:

1614173113312.png


This is pretty bad from Robert Kennedy's group, Childrens Health Defense. Think Darrell Huff, How to Lie with Statistics.
 
Steven Avery

Steven Avery

Administrator
The Harvard Pilgrim reporting (not a study) is discussed on Vaxopedia
https://vaxopedia.org/2019/09/03/percentage-of-reports-to-vaers/

Be sure to read the comments.

There is one spot where a 1% figure is thrown out, and apparently including minor stuff like rashs, it is not a serious effect, and definitely not death.

Children Health Defense
Fewer than 1% of AEs, and 1-13% of SAEs are reported to the Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System, a CDC-funded study at Harvard Pilgrim. (Lazarus, 2009)
Click to expand...

These numbers are not found here:

2009 article
https://academic.oup.com/jamia/article/16/1/18/865000

Here we have something:

Grant Final Report Grant ID: R18 HS 017045Electronic Support for Public Health–Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (ESP:VAERS)
Inclusive dates: 12/01/07 - 09/30/10

Adverse events from drugs and vaccines are common, but underreported. Although 25% of ambulatory patients experience an adverse drug event, less than 0.3% of all adverse drug events and 1-13% of serious events are reported to the Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Likewise, fewer than 1% of vaccine adverse events are reported.
Click to expand...

Electronic Support for Public Health–Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (ESP:VAERS), that was conducted at Harvard Pilgrim Health Care, Inc.

“Preliminary data were collected from June 2006 through October 2009 on 715,000 patients, and 1.4 million doses (of 45 different vaccines) were given to 376,452 individuals. Of these doses, 35,570 possible reactions (2.6 percent of vaccinations) were identified.”
Click to expand...

It is very important to note that all the study found is that all possible reactions, including minor reactions, like pain and fever, are not common. They didn’t actually finish the report to see how commonly those reactions were reported to VAERS. But we already know that more serious reactions are reported to VAERS much more routinely.
Click to expand...
 
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