evaluating the evidentiary value of coincidences - (including post-facto probability)

Steven Avery

This is meant as an ongoing study.

sister threads

atomistic nature of modern scholarship is unable to work well with full-orbed multi-disciplinary science and history

"The coincidence seems almost more singular than can be accounted for by chance" - James Anson Farre

One scholar offered a sort of despairing note about coincidence, probability and evidence. (We were discussing the Hermas "coincidence".

In general: coincidence is a strange phenomenon, too strange indeed to build much on it, certainly not enough to counter a majority opinion, for the simple reason that even if what is said is true it has the ring of "coincidence" around it.